Predictions for top MLB free agents


Where will the biggest free agents sign this offseason? Let’s see what the experts think. 

MLB.com polled 50 of its reporters and analysts on where 11 free-agent stars will end up for the 2023 season. These are the consensus picks for each one — Aaron Judge, Jacob deGrom, Trea Turner, Carlos Correa and more.

Here are MLB.com’s predictions on where the top free agents will sign.

The face of the Yankees is going to stay that way, according to the voters. After Judge’s historic 62-home run season, how could New York let him go?

Judge is the biggest superstar in baseball in the biggest market in baseball, and that marriage could be too strong to break up. Judge turned down the Yankees’ seven-year, $213.5 million extension offer on Opening Day, but a reunion is still the most natural path forward for both the 30-year-old outfielder and the Yanks, especially after Judge’s MVP-caliber year.

Judge staying in pinstripes makes too much sense, and the Yankees continue to look like the favorites to sign Judge, according to the latest rumors — over other potential suitors from Judge’s home state of California, the Giants and Dodgers.

Other teams receiving votes: Giants, Dodgers

deGrom leaving the Mets? Yes, it really could happen. The MLB.com voters just barely picked the Rangers over the Mets as deGrom’s landing spot for 2023 in the closest vote of any free agent in the poll.

Early on in free agency, the Rangers look like deGrom’s top suitor from outside New York — their biggest priority this offseason is starting pitching, there’s no bigger ace available than deGrom, and they’ve already reached out to the two-time Cy Young Award winner.

It wouldn’t be a surprise if deGrom returns to the Mets, even though he opted out of the final year of his contract and $32.5 million in salary. The 34-year-old already is one of the great aces in Mets history, he’s spent his entire career in New York, and owner Steve Cohen has proven himself willing to do what it takes to bring top talent to New York — or keep it there. But Texas has started bringing in marquee free agents, too, like the club did with Corey Seager and Marcus Semien last winter.

Other teams receiving votes: Mets, Braves, Dodgers, Giants, Astros, Guardians, Padres

Another year, another loaded free-agent shortstop class. This offseason, there’s Turner, Carlos Correa, Xander Bogaerts and Dansby Swanson. Turner might be the best of the bunch, with his elite combination of contact hitting, power and speed. So plenty of teams will be interested — but the Phillies already look like the favorite to get the 29-year-old star.

Trea would reportedly love to reunite with his former teammate Bryce Harper, and the Phillies are free to pounce on an elite shortstop without waiting for Judge’s market to develop, thanks to an outfield that’s already loaded up with sluggers. But the Dodgers would certainly like to bring back Turner after their hugely successful blockbuster trade for him in 2021, and there are other high-profile teams wading into the shortstop market, too, like the Cubs.

Other teams receiving votes: Dodgers, Cubs, Mets, Cardinals, Giants, Red Sox, Mariners, Marlins, Yankees

That shortstop market is…



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